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2005 AFC North Football Preview
In the AFC North, I expect to see the Pittsburgh Steelers who went 16-2 and 11-7 ATS last season to win a close division battle against the Baltimore Ravens who have ended their 2004 campaign with a straight 9-7 and brand ATS and on a much improved Cincinnati Bengal team that finished with an 8-8 record for the second straight year in 2004, the Brownies are once again looking to pull the plug. fullback in what is expected to be the toughest division in the NFL in 2005.
Pittsburgh has a tough line to hoe this season, the Steelers only have five games on the 2005 roster against 2004 playoff teams, but four of those deals are on the road and that includes the road games of the Monday night in San Diego and Indianapolis, overall the Steelers will play 10 of their 16 games against teams that posted .500 or better records last year, hence the expected decline in regular season wins .
Like most teams, Pittsburgh has lost quite a bit of talent to free agency, including the Steelers losing a total of five linemen along their offensive and defensive fronts, which could cause depth issues. if the ole injury bug happens and those losses come on top of star WR Plaxico Burress leaving for the Big Apple to play wrestling with Eli Manning.
Baltimore has a very favorable schedule when it comes to playing seven games against playoff teams a year ago, however, five of those seven deals will be in Baltimore and two of those games are against dome teams (Vikes and Colts). The Ravens drafted WR Mark Clayton out of Oklahoma and overall had the best draft of any AFC North team, the addition of free agent WR Derrick Mason from the Titans as well as the draft of WR Clayton should bolster a stagnant Raven passing attack that was fully exposed last season.
The Bengals finished 2004 with an 8-8 record for the second year in a row under HC Marvin Lewis, the Bengal faithful should be pleased with their seasonal finishes over the past two years considering those same Bengals have posted a total of 8 combined wins. during their 2001 and 2002 campaigns.
With QB Carson Palmer starting his second full season under center and arms WR Chad Johnson and RB Rudi Johnson happy with new contracts, Cincinnati has all the pieces on offense to make the playoffs in 2005, Bengal’s main dysfunction during their 2004 campaign was their run defense, but drafting Georgia DE David Pollack who will play LB for the Bengals and Georgia LB Odell Thurman should fix that.
A new era begins in Cleveland Brownie land with the arrival of new HC Romeo Crennell replacing the ousted Butch Davis, the Brownies are actually an expansion team once again considering they have a whole new front office, an all-new coaching staff and have replaced most of their offensive and defensive starters, the saving grace is that the new QB will be experienced retread Trent Dilfer who should be able to provide much-needed leadership.
The Brownies added a lot of talent through the free agent market and actually had a pretty good draft which was highlighted with WR Braylon Edwards as their top pick, but in the grand scheme of things there was a lot too much turnover in this organization to expect much in 2005, look to play the Brownies whenever a home dog of more than one FG after week four of the regular season, at which time the team should start to gel a bit and the public will not be ready for the occasion.
In conclusion AFC North is a three horse race between Pittsburgh, Cincinnati and Baltimore for first place the difference maker will likely be who catches the injury bug and who avoids it, that being said Pittsburgh gets the fire green to win the division due to their depth at the QB and RB positions.
When it comes to betting opportunities, Pittsburgh played 12 nondivisional games in 2004 and went 6-6 ATS in those deals, a closer look reveals the Steelers were a betting underdog in five of the six nondivisional games that they covered, meanwhile, the Steelers were favorites in five of the six non-divisional games they failed to cover.
In other words, as a dog playing a non-divisional game, the Steelers were pretty much a safe bet to cover the spread, however, as a favorite in a non-divisional game, the Steelers struggled to get him. do and have therefore been shown to be almost safe. bet NOT to cover the displayed number, a check back in time reveals these Steelers have failed to cover 6 of the last 7 times they hit the road as a six-point or under favorite against an opponent non-divisional…things that make you go hmmmmm!!
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