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TCU at Utah Betting Preview
There’s a lot at stake this Saturday when No. 3 TCU visits No. 5 in Utah. The Mountain West conference championship will likely go to the winner, who will have an excellent chance of having a perfect regular season and a possible invitation to a BCS Bowl game, maybe even a chance to play for the national championship. Do the BCS boys want both teams to lose this game so one of them doesn’t blow up the BCS!
After that road test, TCU has pretty much clear navigation as they wrap up their season against San Diego State and a terrible New Mexico team. They will be favorites by more than 20 points in both. Over the course of the season, TCU has racked up BCS points as its resume shows two convincing quality wins over Oregon State and Baylor. A win here in Utah and one of the top two losing teams in the process and TCU might be able to build their case to play in a BCS game or maybe the national championship game.
For Utah, their case isn’t as strong as TCU’s, as they’ve only had one decent win so far this season, an opening week 27-24 home win over Pittsburgh. who is just 5-3 this season and plays in the weak Big East. Also coming up for Utah, a road game next week at Notre Dame won’t be an easy win, even though the Fighting Irish are in the midst of another tough year.
TCU warmed up for this match by traveling to Las Vegas and defeating UNLV 48-6. Their defense again dominated as they allowed just 197 total yards. Over the course of the season, TCU is allowing just 8.7 points per game and 217 total yards per contest.
TCU has been a disappointment for college football bettors as they enter this game with a 5-4 so-so against the spread record. However, they are still a good team to play as they have gone under in 6 of their 8 games.
The Utes may have been caught looking ahead last week when they were nearly tripped by the Air Force. They ended up winning the game 28-23 but failed to cover the betting line as 6.5 point favorites. This game broke their perfect 6-0-1 ATS record. In this Air Force game, Utah was very lucky as they were eliminated by the Fly Boys and were the recipients of five Air Force turnovers.
Utah was no competition for this TCU team last year as they traveled to Fort Worth and trailed the Horned Frogs 55-28. However, the year before here in Salt Lake, the Utes beat TCU 13-10 as 1.5-point dogs.
The Sportsbooks like TCU in this game because they’ve installed the Frogs as generous 5-point favorites on the betting line. On paper, that looks like the right line considering team schedules, margin of victory, and the fact that Utah could have lost last week. However, they don’t play these games on paper. It’s tough to play Utah as underdogs at this price because they’re 24-10 (70%) against the betting line as 3.5-10 point dogs. But TCU is a slot in conference games posting a 15-6 betting line record against opponents Mountain West.
For the winning football pick on this game and a few other Strong College Football Picks, be sure to check out Eddie Keen’s college football betting on Vegas Experts!
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